I want to go ahead and apologize to everyone for those awful picks this past week. The Deutsche Bank Championship was cruel to me. It was slightly more cruel to Henrik Stenson, who nearly saved my selections by winning the event. Stenson had a collapse on the 16th hole and Rickie Fowler took home the trophy. Fowler finished at -15 under par. Stenson finished only one shot back.
Stenson had played the 16th hole and -1 under par through the first three rounds of the tournament. He would make a double bogey on Monday. He still had a chance on the 17th and 18th holes to come back. He had played those holes a combined -4 under par through the first three rounds. He made par on both and found himself finishing a shot back of a playoff. Stenson could have saved my picks this week, which didn’t fair too well.
I started making my selections for the major tournaments before the Open Championship. I generally will pick five to six players each time. In the four events I have previewed and made selections for, I am still looking to pick my first winner. I suppose that picking the winners of golf tournaments is harder than it looks. In these events (all are marquee tournaments and held at difficult courses) it can be difficult to distinguish between momentum and quality of play.
The players I have selected have amassed six top 10 finishes. There have been an additional five top 25 finishes (not including the players who have finished in the top 10). This means that I’ve had 11 out of 21 picks finish in 25th or better so far (a respectable 52.3%). I typically will take at least one player who is coming into that week an underdog. There have been some disappointments along the way.
I have selected five players that have missed the cut. I picked Kevin Kisner at the Open Championship and he narrowly missed the cut. Kisner’s group had to play in some wretched conditions and he shot a 74 on day two to miss the cut. In the PGA Championship, I selected both Zach Johnson and Shane Lowry. Lowry had just won the Bridgestone and history told me that he’d play well in the PGA. Lowry’s opening round 78 ruined his chances and he failed to make the cut (despite rallying to shoot a 69 the next day). Last week, both Jordan Spieth and Jimmy Walker missed the cut. Walker played well at TPC Boston last season and I thought I had found an underdog selection worth taking.
The most success I have had at any event so far has been at the Bridgestone. That week I had Bubba Watson (2nd), Jordan Spieth (10th), Jason Day (12th), Danny Willett (17th), and Sergio Garcia (37th). I will have my BMW Championship picks ready next week and that tournament will begin on September 17, 2015.